All Rights Reserved. Byeong Hun An (+550 = Top 20) After slotting at No. The American Express 2023 will run over three courses, but all are similar -- short and featuring few hazards. He gained more than 14 strokes from tee-to-green in those eight rounds but lost over eight strokes with his putter. His game can clearly travel and his upside is immense. Shane Lowry ($10,400 DraftKings | $11,800 FanDuel). These odds, in a tournament where we typically see a few Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Emiliano Grillo. Top-10 results from the Bermuda Championship: Gehman: 1 for 1 (Thomas Detry +225); Everybody else: 0 for 1, Top-10 results from this season: Hennessey: 1 for 6 (up 2 units); Mayo: 1 for 5 (up 0 units); Gdula: 1 for 6 (down 0.1 units); Caddie: 1 for 6 (down 0.5 units); Alldrick: 1 for 6 (down 1 unit); Gehman: 1 for 6 (down 2.75 units); Powers: 0 for 6 (down 6 units), RELATED: A death stare from Tiger, playing Tony Finau for cash and more with Doug Smith. Thats the recipe for his two top 10s and no finish worse than 22nd in three starts. Joaqun Niemann (R) of Chile celebrates with the trophy alongside friend and competitor Mito Pereira (L) of Chile after winning the final round of The Genesis Invitational at Riviera Country Club on February 20, 2022 in Pacific Palisades, California. Eric Cole ($6,900 DraftKings | $8,000 FanDuel). CJ Cup: Matt Fitzpatrick. We picked our first winner of the new season at the CJ Cup, with Lee Alldrick correctly predicting Rory McIlroys victory at Congaree at 7-1. Im not really understanding why Henleys priced up here just below the elites. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop," (below) where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy lineups. Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. His perception has been buoyed by two straight third-place finishes at the Sony Open and American Express. 6-keys: media/spln/golf/reg/free/stories, at How to Sports Bet 101: What is a Point Spread? SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. Mayo: Emiliano Grillo (+270, DraftKings) The CJ Cup wasnt kind to Grillo, but now hes back at a happy place. Sure, many factors contribute to success and not all performers are defined by them, but the 2023 body of evidence already includes the likes of Eric Cole (P2), Ben Martin (T5) and Carson Young (T29), each of whom with attention-getting performances at PGA National last week. Reunion Resort & Golf Club 7. Gdula: Maverick McNealy (26-1, FanDuel) I cant suggest fading anyone at 18-1 or shorter. Rileys constant is as a stripe show on approach, so our speculation relies on a hot putter to disrupt. Rick Gehman, founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. The Stokastic 2022-2023 NBA DFS Content Schedule, Best Ball Rankings for DraftKings & Underdog Fantasy, Jock MKT NBA DFS IPO Pricing/Projections FREE, Expert Golf Betting Tool | Prop Bet Projections, Top Golfers Tool PGA DFS Simulation Results, Stokastics Camping World Series Projections, F1 DFS Projections for DraftKings Formula One Fantasy Racing, NASCAR Camping World Series Ownership Projections, NASCAR Top Drivers Tool Simulation Probabilities, How to Play DraftKings F1 DFS: Formula 1 Fantasy Racing Advice & How To Win Tournaments, CSGO Ownership Projections for DraftKings, The Stokastic Podcast Network Directory, Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) Podcast All Sports, Betting U College Sports Betting Podcast, Sports Betting 101: Bet Types Part II (FREE). Rai is one of the worst Bermudagrass putters in the field, and hes lost strokes on approach in four of his past five starts. Hennessey: Viktor Hovland An easy case to make to roll with the two-time defending champ. Hes separating himself from fields via his strong iron play but has left some room for improvement on the greens. Hes been good not great, but we are being asked to pay for greatness at this price tag. On paper, El Camaleon should be an excellent course for him except its been horrible there. Follow him on Twitter: @RickRunGood. Hes now played 12 times this season, making the cut in 10 starts while earning six finishes of T-32 or better. Other top contenders in the Arnold Palmer field include Rory McIlroy (19-2), Scottie Scheffler (11-1), Max Homa (19-1), Collin Morikawa (21-1), Justin Thomas (23-1), Xander Schauffele (24-1) and Will Zalatoris (24-1). Honda Classic DFS picks 2023: Play this breakout star TPC Louisiana | Par 72 | 7,425 yards | Pete Dye design, TPC Louisiana in Avondale, Louisiana. Accuracy and irons can most definitely prevail at Mayakoba as long as you make a few putts, and Grillo has actually gained with the putter in eight of his past nine starts; good for five top 10s over that stretch. The American Express picks 2023: Why this is the week Christiaan Bezuidenhout (+375 = Top 20) His value will be flattened on course history alone -- since his debut in 2020, hes gone T18-7th-T20 but thats OK because its the kind of consistently strong form we want in every investment, not to mention that hes navigated Bay Hill in a variety of conditions to extend that confidence into this weeks fray. McNealys longer than he is accurate, and the irons arent particularly great. And for a guy whos been batting about .500 for four seasons, its notable that hes 7-for-11 this season with a T25 at Torrey Pines and a T29 at Riviera. PGA DFS: Picks, Projections, Ownership, Rankings & Strategy If you or someone you know wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Oh, and a lot of laughs along the way. picks Millions in Winnings and Counting. If he puts together four complete rounds, Day will likely be in contention when Sunday comes around and McClure sees huge value in taking him to finish in the top-20. He gained 7.86 strokes ball-striking at Riviera, the best mark since his victory in Memphis last year. We run 1000s simulations for every PGA Tour event to predict the most likely outcomes and find value against the sportsbooks. Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and producer of long- and short-form content, owner of the Mayo Media Network and host of The Pat Mayo Experience. Kapalua Plantation Course 4. Ben Griffin ($6,700 DraftKings | $8,200 FanDuel). He also was among the turnarounds at the Honda a T29, easily his best effort in five starts in 2023. World No. DraftKings Round 4 Showdown Golf Cheat Sheet: Best PGA DFS Picks for the Genesis Invitational | Patrick Cantlay, DraftKings Round 2 Showdown Golf Cheat Sheet: Best PGA DFS Picks for the Genesis Invitational | Will Zalatoris. Hes been much improved with the flatstick, gaining strokes in nine of 14 starts. Luke List ($7,300 DraftKings | $9,000 FanDuel). Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the weekend, but the model still projected him as the winner. The Chicagoland native has been playing fantasy golf since 1994, so he was just waiting for the Internet to catch up with him. Follow Rob Bolton on Twitter. Jon Rahm Now Heavy Favorite at Arnold Palmer Invitational After Strong First Round, Arnold Palmer Invitational Bets: Bettor in For Wild Pay Day if Scottie Scheffler Repeats, Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Odds & Trends: Bettors Loving Will Zalatoris, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Longshot Bets: Keith Mitchell Scorching Hot, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational One and Done Picks: It May Be Collin Morikawa Time. Anyone who backs one of his 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational sleepers could hit it big. This season, Zalatoris ranks 28th in birdie percentage, while his partner, Riley, is tied for 23rd. Hes been quiet of late but he still connected for a T11 at PGA West, and we can count on him to find fairways at Bay Hill. (Photo by Katharine Lotze/Getty Images). (Photo: Erich Schlegel-USA TODAY Sports). You can only see his Arnold Palmer Invitational best bets at SportsLine. Released Monday night/Tuesday Morning. Bermuda: Denny McCarthy. MLB Power Rankings + Sports Betting Model, 2022 Best Ball Rankings/Projections for Underdog, DraftKings, FFPC and Yahoo. 1, who has gone eighth-11th in his last two starts, seemingly out of nowhere. Henley has an 18 percent top-10 rate over the past year, and only the putting is really holding him back from success this week. One of the most accurate players in the field and always seems to make the putts he should. Draft Wingman for DraftKings, Yahoo, ESPN, CBS, FFPC & More, Simulate your Fantasy Football Draft Against Awesemo's AI, The Fantasy Football Rankings Cheatsheet Hub, Breakouts, Sleepers, Deep Sleepers, and Busts, PGA DFS Rankings for DraftKings, FanDuel & Yahoo, Fantasy Golf: PGA DFS Projections for DraftKings, FanDuel, and Yahoo, PGA DFS Projections for Showdown and Weekend Daily Fantasy Golf, Top Golfers Tool PGA DFS Simulation Results for DraftKings, FanDuel and Yahoo, PGA Weather Splits for Daily Fantasy Golf and Betting, Daily Fantasy Golf: Power Rankings and Matchups, PGA DFS Pro Plays for Fantasy Golf Lineups on DraftKings + FanDuel. TPC Summerlin 8. Hovland on the other hand comes into this event looking to complete the hat trick of wins here in the space of three years. Svensson rebounded from MCs at Torrey Pines and Phoenix with a T-9 at Riviera, and hell find a reprieve in this field. picks The only thing thats held him back is the flat stick, which weve seen him flip on a dime and win tournaments before. Responsible sports betting starts with a game plan. The 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando is next up on the PGA Tour schedule, the third designated event in four weeks. Bramlett will enter with back-to-back T-15 finishes, where hes gained over 10 strokes in the ball-striking categories. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Kevin Streelman (+900, Bet365) The off-the-tee and approach numbers are top 15 in this field over the past 24 rounds, per Fantasy National, so Streelman should give himself plenty of chances. Lee +6500Rickie Fowler +6500Jason Day +8000Wyndham Clark +8000Joel Dahmen +8000Harris English +8000Chris Kirk +8000Taylor Pendrith +8500Justin Rose +8500Patrick Rodgers +9500Christiaan Bezuidenhout +9500Davis Riley +9500Thomas Detry +9500Denny McCarthy +9500Keith Mitchell +10000Will Gordon +10000David Lipsky +10000Sebastian Munoz +11000Brendan Steele +11000Martin Laird +12000Brendon Todd +12000Luke List +12000Dean Burmester +12000Emiliano Grillo +12000Ben Griffin +12000Stephan Jaeger +12000Alex Smalley +12000Aaron Rai +14000Russell Knox +14000Lee Hodges +14000Jhonattan Vegas +16000Nick Taylor +16000Greyson Sigg +16000Taylor Moore +16000Patton Kizzire +16000Sam Ryder +16000Mark Hubbard +16000Danny Willett +16000Nate Lashley +16000Robby Shelton +17000S.H. Keep it social. Odds provided byTipico Sportsbook; accessUSA TODAY Sports betting oddsfor a full list. The odds are a bit too long as a result. His short game has been tidy, gaining strokes around-the-green in five of his last seven starts while gaining strokes with his putter in seven straight. . He tends to thrive when conditions get more difficult, which will be expected at PGA National this week. Courses 189 View detail Preview site Caddie: Aaron Wise (+220, Bet365) Wise has gone 10th, MC, second and 15th in his last four trips to Mayakoba, and hes coming off his third top-15 finish in his last four starts. I worry about him losing five strokes on the putting surfaces, but his clubhead speed and newfound confidence can be a difference-maker this week. He finished his Korn Ferry Tour season with a win, a third and T-10 all within his last seven starts. Thats the ninth-best putting performance of anyone in this field for the entire 2023 season. The 26-year-old hasn't been great in this event the past two years, but he did finish third in 2020. Showdown Spotlight Articles: Released after the conclusion of play each day, this article is to give some ideas for Showdown contests, and updates to the daily action in case one missed it. There is trouble lurking off nearly every tee shot, and youll certainly see a few big numbers this week. Palmer/Scheffler (5.4 percent). Hes gained 10-plus strokes to the field five times during that run, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. Finishing T-50 in Phoenix and T-45 in Los Angeles are certainly not bad results, but they will look bad compared to the high standards that Kim has provided us in his first nine months on tour. 7 and sank one of the most beautiful aces youll ever see. Pereira enters the week with three straight top-30 finishes including a top 20 at the Valero Texas Open. Follow him on Twitter: @RickRunGood. Hes accomplished both on and around the greens, which gives him the highest upside and most well-rounded golfer teeing it up. RELATED: Arnold Palmer Invitational picks 2023: Our betting panel has cashed three straight outright winnersand now we have a consensus bet. Zozo: Sungjae Im. Brent Grant ($6,400 DraftKings | $7,600 FanDuel). Tournament match-ups are often released by Tuesday at many top sportsbooks along with expert picks from PGA Tour staff and Golf Digest panel among other leading handicappers and analysts. Theyre both inside the top 30 this season in birdie average. The Korn Ferry trademark is also a registered trademark, and is used in the Korn Ferry Tour logo with permission. 7:52 am ET, be sure you check out the PGA Tour predictions and best bets from SportsLine golf insider Patrick McDonald, You can head to SportsLine now to see all of McDonald's PGA picks and analysis, You can see who he is backing this week at The American Express 2023 at SportsLine, You can find out who it is, and see the rest of McDonald's American Express picks, predictions, and best bets at SportsLine, visit SportsLine to see Patrick McDonald's top prop picks for The American Express 2023, all from the expert who is up almost $700 on his PGA Tour picks this season, See full The American Express 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here, Spieth among many chasing at Arnold Palmer Invitational, Tiger Woods opts to not play Players Championship, WATCH: Viktor Hovland drains ace at Arnold Palmer, How to watch 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, Report: Pebble Beach will be designated event in 2024, Rahm leads (again) at Bay Hill after Round 1, 2023 American Express odds, field, expert picks, bets, Spieth among chasers at Arnold Palmer Invitational, Tiger Woods opts to skip 2023 Players Championship, Report: PGA Tour to reduce fields of designated events, Kirk breaks 8-year drought with emotional Honda win.
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